Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 0.60 Hybrid 47.80%,   Union 12.00%,  
1 Mid-Atlantic 0.81 AMP 77.70%,   Spice 2.00%,   Rally 1.40%,  
1 North Central 0.42 Drag'n Thrust 41.70%,  
2 Northeast 2.14 XIST 99.90%,   Slow 97.20%,   Sprocket 16.90%,  
4 Northwest 4.32 Royals 99.90%,   Lights Out 97.90%,   BFG 96.90%,   Seattle Mixtape 75.20%,   Porch Bears 28.00%,   Viking Blood 21.30%,   Sego 11.10%,   Oregon Scorch 1.10%,   Bullet Train 1.00%,  
1 South Central 1.96 shame. 98.10%,   Austin Disco Club 98.10%,   Mile High Trash 0.20%,  
1 Southeast 0.00 Roma Ultima 0.10%,  
5 Southwest 5.74 Tower 99.00%,   Polar Bears 97.20%,   LIT Ultimate 89.60%,   Lotus 67.90%,   Mischief 51.30%,   BW Ultimate 47.30%,   California Burrito 46.20%,   Donuts 34.10%,   Landsharks 25.20%,   Classy 8.70%,   American Barbecue 6.90%,   Mango 1.10%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 0.598 0.811 0.417 2.140 4.324 1.964 0.001 5.745
Autos (all @ 1) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 3.324 0.964 -0.999 4.745
Southwest (@ 2) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 3.324 0.964 -0.999 3.745
Southwest (@ 3) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 3.324 0.964 -0.999 2.745
Northwest (@ 2) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 2.324 0.964 -0.999 2.745
Southwest (@ 4) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 2.324 0.964 -0.999 1.745
Northwest (@ 3) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 1.324 0.964 -0.999 1.745
Southwest (@ 5) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 1.324 0.964 -0.999 0.745
Northwest (@ 4) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 1.140 0.324 0.964 -0.999 0.745
Northeast (@ 2) -0.402 -0.189 -0.583 0.140 0.324 0.964 -0.999 0.745
Total 1 1 1 2 4 1 1 5

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Royals 0.999 2300.46 113.50 1 18 6-0
2 XIST 0.999 2120.70 83.04 1 17 5-1
3 Tower 0.99 2053.41 81.14 1 21 9-3
4 shame. 0.981 2100.19 119.02 1 25 5-1
5 Austin Disco Club 0.981 2047.36 89.40 1 23 4-2
6 Lights Out 0.979 2009.31 67.61 1 21 4-2
7 Slow 0.972 2027.90 91.38 1 22 5-1
8 Polar Bears 0.972 2006.65 74.91 1 23 9-3
9 BFG 0.969 2030.29 91.15 1 22 9-3
10 LIT Ultimate 0.896 1973.29 85.43 1 28 5-1
11 AMP 0.777 1949.70 120.89 1 35 5-1
12 Seattle Mixtape 0.752 1920.82 92.89 3 36 3-3
13 Lotus 0.679 1900.08 95.32 2 32 7-5
14 Mischief 0.513 1861.05 75.87 4 34 6-6
15 Hybrid 0.478 1851.95 83.48 2 39 4-2
16 BW Ultimate 0.473 1841.74 160.56 1 59 4-2
17 California Burrito 0.462 1853.52 63.33 4 33 3-3
18 Drag'n Thrust 0.417 1843.52 71.75 6 34 4-2
19 Donuts 0.341 1821.88 110.32 1 42 9-3
20 Porch Bears 0.28 1798.90 102.99 4 44 4-2
21 Landsharks 0.252 1745.34 166.46 1 65 5-1
22 Viking Blood 0.213 1793.69 72.71 7 37 4-2
23 Sprocket 0.169 1758.16 104.31 4 45 4-2
24 Union 0.12 1758.93 83.64 7 39 4-2
25 Sego 0.111 1767.72 78.92 8 43 6-6
26 Classy 0.087 1729.25 93.73 7 49 8-4
27 American Barbecue 0.069 1747.32 76.33 10 39 8-4
28 Spice 0.02 1517.44 166.40 2 120 6-1
29 Rally 0.014 1718.44 57.36 10 38 3-3
30 Oregon Scorch 0.011 1733.20 49.51 13 40 7-5
31 Mango 0.011 1588.16 105.63 13 70 7-5
32 Bullet Train 0.01 1593.36 115.19 11 68 5-1
33 Mile High Trash 0.002 1679.37 71.94 15 46 4-8
34 Roma Ultima 0.001 1420.99 112.60 14 86 12-1
35 Octonauts 0 1666.59 29.94 21 38 6-0
36 Odyssée [Senior] 0 1634.74 49.93 18 45 12-1
37 Hive 0 1567.76 63.58 23 61 7-4
38 Big Rig 0 1559.91 63.13 24 56 11-2
39 FlyTrap 0 1526.10 100.50 21 81 6-0
40 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0 1515.86 102.32 18 77 3-3
41 Choco Ghost House 0 1497.76 54.64 29 60 3-3
42 MOONDOG 0 1480.70 72.49 27 68 2-4
43 Grand Army 0 1448.78 75.28 27 75 9-4
44 Shipwreck 0 1436.19 130.86 18 104 3-3
45 Space Force 0 1429.27 97.11 25 86 2-4
46 Pushovers 0 1426.09 97.59 21 86 5-1
47 Pegasus 0 1417.62 76.35 27 79 4-2
48 Spectre 0 1416.42 94.49 23 95 7-0
49 Wild Card 0 1379.36 75.85 35 87 2-4
50 'Shine 0 1376.83 89.07 29 90 3-3
51 Brunch Club 0 1375.42 59.43 36 76 5-1
52 Drip 0 1372.73 122.14 20 103 2-4
53 Sin Nombre 0 1364.95 62.38 36 80 6-6
54 Family Style 0 1364.38 75.03 33 88 6-6
55 Robot 0 1338.77 101.22 23 104 4-2
56 Spoke 0 1330.67 53.43 41 83 1-5
57 Conspiracy 0 1326.53 92.37 32 106 1-5
58 Space Ghosts 0 1323.66 45.91 42 88 3-3
59 Green Chiles 0 1313.67 59.29 38 90 3-3
60 Limbo 0 1295.35 75.48 36 94 4-3
61 Dispatch 0 1290.60 124.80 27 115 5-2
62 Moontower 0 1281.60 89.88 38 109 6-0
63 The Buoy Association 0 1280.54 124.43 28 119 6-0
64 Bird 0 1275.20 110.27 30 112 5-2
65 Darkwing 0 1275.05 64.05 40 100 7-6
66 HVAC 0 1274.59 75.76 35 97 4-2
67 Delabear 0 1271.94 131.61 29 113 6-0
68 Lawless 0 1269.31 25.20 50 79 0-6
69 Erosion 0 1260.18 90.88 38 108 0-6
70 Murmur 0 1250.57 110.72 32 115 10-3
71 Flight Club 0 1241.00 64.11 44 97 1-5
72 Zero Strategy 0 1235.96 69.12 39 103 8-5
73 Anthem 0 1223.20 114.70 34 118 0-6
74 Goose Chase 0 1222.52 59.70 47 106 3-9
75 Townies 0 1219.16 92.92 37 110 8-5
76 Bench 0 1215.77 83.34 42 110 9-4
77 Spoiler Alert 0 1201.70 95.27 38 114 5-7
78 Goose Run 0 1197.23 89.93 43 119 2-4
79 Grit City 0 1194.52 80.62 46 112 5-7
80 Garbage Plates 0 1192.16 82.25 44 116 6-7
81 Phlagstaff Ultimate 0 1184.70 94.68 40 113 3-3
82 RAMP 0 1174.45 86.50 41 115 5-2
83 Bar None 0 1170.15 106.84 42 129 5-2
84 Obscure 0 1142.62 103.84 40 131 3-4
85 Chicago Parlay 0 1133.46 69.86 54 114 5-2
86 Harfang ultimate 0 1111.73 131.51 36 142 3-3
87 Catalyst 0 1105.25 83.16 54 126 8-5
88 Jughandle 0 1100.03 69.98 57 121 7-5
89 The Force 0 1098.20 72.94 55 115 5-2
90 Igneous Ultimate 0 1094.90 127.83 42 137 1-4
91 Quahogs 0 1092.07 69.90 63 118 8-5
92 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1089.20 72.06 55 117 5-8
93 Birds of Paradise 0 1084.26 75.05 51 122 5-7
94 Heat Wave 0 1076.35 104.94 51 132 3-4
95 Melt 0 1070.91 97.99 50 133 3-3
96 CLX 0 1069.42 86.95 54 128 5-2
97 Legion 0 1064.85 64.90 61 117 7-3
98 MCO 0 1058.98 85.72 61 124 3-3
99 Twist 0 1046.05 84.79 60 134 9-3
100 Impact 0 1045.06 81.34 63 126 8-4
101 BUMS 0 1037.48 67.42 66 120 13-1
102 Revival 0 1029.48 94.59 55 137 5-2
103 Asheville Parliament 0 1017.12 111.57 52 150 4-3
104 Cupcakes 0 1005.35 63.38 74 131 4-8
105 Axolotls 0 1000.25 142.77 46 157 4-2
106 Amber 0 998.96 52.48 74 124 11-2
107 Lampshade 0 996.16 73.66 77 129 3-10
108 Funk 0 996.11 83.34 71 139 4-3
109 Fatal Attraction 0 981.21 107.32 62 139 2-5
110 Prion 0 979.42 45.34 88 121 9-4
111 Good Company 0 975.34 91.11 71 143 5-0
112 Lemonade Ultimate 0 923.86 63.54 82 134 3-3
113 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 919.61 55.36 89 132 4-2
114 VU 0 899.15 80.27 74 155 2-10
115 League of Shadows 0 894.88 80.59 81 144 8-5
116 Malice in Wonderland 0 879.75 40.42 102 132 6-7
117 Cutthroat 0 879.26 95.39 82 159 1-5
118 Zero Turn Lawnmower 0 878.84 31.91 105 129 4-2
119 Northern Comfort 0 860.46 92.27 87 158 4-2
120 Heavy Flow 0 834.38 81.99 84 154 5-4
121 Ant Madness 0 832.26 62.48 102 144 7-4
122 Stackcats 0 819.64 61.51 100 145 7-5
123 Karma 0 814.95 65.33 102 147 4-2
124 Great Minnesota Get Together 0 807.51 58.17 104 149 2-4
125 The Midwest Goodbye 0 794.31 78.02 93 163 2-4
126 Cowpoke 0 794.17 58.15 109 147 3-3
127 T Party 0 780.17 64.02 102 152 5-8
128 Sailboat 0 779.40 144.50 62 178 4-2
129 Akron Nimb 0 778.76 87.21 94 158 4-2
130 Armory 0 776.28 45.87 113 147 7-4
131 Queen City Gambit 0 767.10 77.72 102 159 6-6
132 Utah Sundrift 0 763.24 45.13 109 145 4-2
133 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 762.69 86.52 95 161 6-3
134 Moonlight Ultimate 0 745.29 79.78 100 161 1-5
135 Taproot 0 735.80 66.27 108 158 7-3
136 Philadelphia Forge 0 724.46 82.30 108 169 2-4
137 Sugar High 0 683.09 52.94 120 160 6-7
138 PS 0 679.65 56.67 121 161 3-4
139 Frostbite 0 674.57 67.18 116 168 3-3
140 Obelisk 0 666.91 66.44 120 170 3-7
141 Toast! 0 663.44 93.73 107 175 2-4
142 SkyLab 0 652.84 105.51 109 179 0-6
143 Rainbow 0 649.84 63.24 121 168 7-3
144 Mad Udderburn 0 643.45 53.23 124 163 2-4
145 Jabba 0 641.54 103.87 98 180 3-3
146 Lake Superior Disc 0 641.26 48.74 126 161 1-5
147 District Cocktails 0 635.02 62.92 120 168 1-8
148 Farm Show 0 608.86 73.44 112 179 3-4
149 Brooklyn Hive 0 589.04 51.06 131 168 5-4
150 ConSTLation 0 580.97 45.80 133 169 2-4
151 solAR 0 568.16 60.27 134 181 11-6
152 B-Unit 0 546.99 88.67 127 180 4-3
153 Mousetrap 0 546.74 75.55 123 180 1-5
154 The Strangers 0 543.19 102.25 118 185 1-4
155 Pier Pressure 0 541.35 114.15 113 183 1-5
156 MoonPi 0 539.69 74.99 128 180 6-8
157 Boomtown Pandas 0 536.76 74.29 131 181 2-4
158 QCO 0 520.33 79.25 126 180 6-7
159 Aged Cheddar 0 519.34 116.03 111 188 2-3
160 Tempo 0 510.36 86.45 128 188 5-6
161 Duck Parade 0 495.46 80.71 129 186 6-7
162 Philly Twist 0 485.57 67.96 138 180 2-3
163 FLI 0 482.38 78.45 133 185 2-2
164 Blue Ridge Sasquatch 0 473.57 60.49 141 183 5-8
165 Equinox 0 450.20 124.38 126 191 3-3
166 ELevate 0 445.87 72.81 143 184 2-10
167 Takeout 0 440.51 163.00 104 198 0-6
168 Lightning 0 432.21 130.35 118 195 4-5
169 All Jeeps, All Night. [A] 0 427.28 65.53 142 183 1-4
170 Skyhawks 0 421.50 54.96 149 185 5-7
171 Discosauriscus 0 419.51 83.43 138 187 1-3
172 Scarecrow 0 417.96 73.45 146 186 4-9
173 Mashed 0 412.23 79.40 142 187 2-4
174 Risky Business 0 409.64 76.24 142 187 3-10
175 Young and the Restless 0 374.20 82.59 149 189 1-6
176 Rampage 0 349.81 60.39 158 186 3-10
177 Jumbo Slice 0 321.86 74.61 156 192 3-4
178 JAWN 0 308.94 62.58 159 189 2-2
179 Crucible 0 302.91 98.29 145 193 4-4
180 Y'all 0 300.49 126.64 143 200 1-5
181 Arms Race 0 271.70 101.31 153 200 0-6
182 S.O.S 0 269.27 170.69 123 200 1-4
183 Dreamcatcher 0 254.87 23.49 175 188 1-3
184 STL CELESTIAL 0 210.76 66.70 165 194 4-8
185 Magnanimouse 0 193.60 110.03 156 199 4-9
186 Bald Eagles 0 184.91 114.95 154 200 1-6
187 Columbus Chaos 0 152.22 127.18 154 201 2-8
188 Fault Line 0 99.09 71.87 177 199 0-6
189 Pixel 0 70.65 84.10 176 200 2-9
190 New South Soul 0 57.16 45.26 184 199 1-15
191 Voltage 0 43.63 101.61 175 202 1-7
192 UV Rays 0 29.16 140.12 160 202 1-4
193 Mastodon 0 20.80 158.18 156 202 1-5
194 Domino Effect 0 11.56 107.88 173 202 0-12
195 flATLine 0 7.07 79.52 176 202 0-6
196 Hartford Current 0 2.07 50.76 184 200 0-4
197 PterodaCTyl 0 -12.66 52.49 186 200 0-4
198 Verdant 0 -16.63 120.92 170 202 1-11
199 Sugar Shack 0 -51.95 85.85 181 202 1-4
200 Columbus Cohesion 0 -173.28 169.34 177 203 0-5
201 UFO Ultimate 0 -191.99 27.04 197 202 2-1
202 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 -251.71 25.88 199 202 1-7
203 Compost Plates 0 -812.05 172.69 201 203 0-3