Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.27 Chicago Machine 100.00%,   GOAT 99.40%,   Haymaker 28.10%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.00 Philadelphia Pacmen 100.00%,   Truck Stop 100.00%,  
1 North Central 1.03 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 2.80%,  
3 Northeast 2.97 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Red Tide 50.20%,   Mephisto 31.10%,   Magnitude 15.00%,   Blueprint 0.50%,  
3 Northwest 2.92 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 99.70%,   Furious George 91.10%,   Dark Star 0.70%,  
2 South Central 1.50 Johnny Bravo 99.60%,   Doublewide 50.60%,  
2 Southeast 2.29 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 29.10%,   Florida Untied 0.30%,  
1 Southwest 1.02 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 1.80%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.275 2.000 1.028 2.968 2.915 1.502 2.294 1.018
Autos (all @ 1) 1.275 1.000 0.028 1.968 1.915 0.502 1.294 0.018
Northeast (@ 2) 1.275 1.000 0.028 0.968 1.915 0.502 1.294 0.018
Northwest (@ 2) 1.275 1.000 0.028 0.968 0.915 0.502 1.294 0.018
Southeast (@ 2) 1.275 1.000 0.028 0.968 0.915 0.502 0.294 0.018
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.275 1.000 0.028 0.968 0.915 0.502 0.294 0.018
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.275 0.000 0.028 0.968 0.915 0.502 0.294 0.018
Northeast (@ 3) 0.275 0.000 0.028 -0.032 0.915 0.502 0.294 0.018
Northwest (@ 3) 0.275 0.000 0.028 -0.032 -0.085 0.502 0.294 0.018
South Central (@ 2) 0.275 0.000 0.028 -0.032 -0.085 -0.498 0.294 0.018
Total 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Revolver 1 2427.24 63.71 1 8 10-2
2 Chicago Machine 1 2393.38 90.18 1 12 8-4
3 DiG 1 2371.28 101.91 1 13 8-4
4 Rhino Slam! 1 2356.85 77.48 1 12 9-3
5 PoNY 1 2356.08 70.82 1 12 9-3
6 Sub Zero 1 2271.00 51.75 1 12 13-5
7 Ring of Fire 1 2256.50 61.89 1 13 13-5
8 Truck Stop 1 2224.12 66.30 1 14 11-7
9 Philadelphia Pacmen 1 2201.91 49.27 2 14 12-6
10 Chain Lightning 1 2180.03 48.75 5 14 12-6
11 Sockeye 0.997 2155.58 74.34 2 18 8-4
12 Johnny Bravo 0.996 2074.05 42.02 9 19 10-8
13 GOAT 0.994 2173.20 94.22 1 21 9-3
14 Furious George 0.911 2032.81 70.96 5 21 6-6
15 Doublewide 0.506 1938.77 59.14 11 25 9-9
16 Red Tide 0.502 1935.00 31.29 13 22 16-9
17 Mephisto 0.311 1908.09 70.04 10 26 4-8
18 Raleigh-Durham United 0.291 1909.41 45.83 13 24 7-5
19 Haymaker 0.281 1906.23 59.12 12 28 14-4
20 Magnitude 0.15 1866.98 64.87 13 30 6-1
21 Mad Men 0.028 1828.27 58.78 14 29 13-5
22 SoCal Condors 0.018 1794.04 68.86 14 32 8-4
23 Dark Star 0.007 1783.26 64.31 13 34 15-3
24 Blueprint 0.005 1772.59 63.72 15 32 16-3
25 Florida Untied 0.003 1740.60 56.74 16 33 8-10
26 Sprout 0 1713.47 63.46 19 37 14-5
27 Vault 0 1701.59 48.25 19 36 6-12
28 Oak Grove Boys 0 1675.46 67.59 19 42 16-8
29 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1625.40 59.13 22 45 10-8
30 Phoenix 0 1592.42 51.16 25 46 8-10
31 baNC 0 1561.60 46.25 24 46 7-11
32 SOUF 0 1557.23 62.18 23 52 15-3
33 Red Circus 0 1550.99 54.99 24 51 10-3
34 Nighthawk 0 1544.90 65.14 23 51 4-8
35 Lounar 0 1532.90 63.72 26 61 9-9
36 Colt 0 1524.49 62.24 26 55 15-10
37 Big Wrench 0 1509.73 75.79 24 58 7-6
38 Wavestorms 0 1485.24 72.48 27 68 9-2
39 Flying Dutchmen 0 1477.01 84.69 23 64 8-4
40 I-69 0 1467.77 77.49 26 64 8-10
41 Fungi 0 1453.89 64.46 28 62 6-6
42 Tanasi 0 1447.12 81.68 27 78 14-3
43 Lantern 0 1444.75 64.49 27 63 11-8
44 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1438.34 86.77 28 71 14-4
45 Mallard 0 1437.14 82.87 27 77 6-6
46 Trident 0 1408.10 65.41 31 72 13-5
47 BUDA U20B 0 1390.98 73.83 28 80 3-4
48 General Strike 0 1389.21 108.97 25 94 3-3
49 Switchback 0 1387.85 64.27 30 73 10-7
50 ELDL 0 1370.29 68.35 32 77 10-6
51 Garden State Ultimate 0 1365.58 69.45 30 75 9-9
52 Zodiac 0 1356.96 83.26 28 89 7-6
53 Iditarod 0 1353.93 47.42 37 74 8-5
54 AVE 0 1353.70 89.81 29 93 4-2
55 Skipjack 0 1322.17 77.78 33 92 7-1
56 Club M - Manic 0 1308.32 66.99 36 88 6-7
57 CITYWIDE Special 0 1296.25 60.79 41 87 10-10
58 Knights of Ni 0 1288.03 96.68 33 99 7-5
59 UPDOG 0 1284.60 113.74 26 107 7-6
60 WOMP 0 1282.20 98.58 28 111 15-2
61 Shade 0 1266.14 58.42 42 88 11-9
62 BAG 0 1262.02 54.40 43 85 8-12
63 Portland TremOR 0 1232.98 58.54 42 93 7-5
64 Fuse 0 1225.30 43.81 44 89 12-5
65 MOB Ultimate 0 1204.44 66.17 47 103 11-6
66 EtobiCoke 0 1201.68 63.18 48 96 9-5
67 Hazard 0 1201.39 82.66 41 109 5-7
68 Ascension 0 1200.80 62.98 44 100 6-7
69 Alamode 0 1186.34 69.38 46 108 14-4
70 Zoboomafoo 0 1185.39 66.12 49 99 11-7
71 Apollo 0 1179.65 72.02 44 109 12-4
72 Mint 0 1170.27 58.59 51 106 11-6
73 Odyssey 0 1163.89 67.72 50 110 11-9
74 Wretched Refuse 0 1163.00 97.63 39 132 7-4
75 Cash Crop 2 0 1161.88 64.33 51 107 8-2
76 Grudge 0 1160.53 80.63 46 112 7-5
77 DAPPER 0 1155.94 47.22 58 106 12-14
78 Black Lung 0 1151.78 71.60 53 109 13-4
79 Blackfish 0 1149.33 47.30 57 99 6-6
80 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1142.75 69.65 52 109 5-8
81 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1136.25 80.73 50 122 10-6
82 OAT 0 1122.21 64.09 52 117 7-5
83 ISO Atmo 0 1110.99 87.87 50 122 11-7
84 Triumph 0 1100.70 68.19 54 112 11-7
85 Sebastopol Orchard 0 1093.26 84.22 51 128 4-2
86 PowderHogs 0 1091.31 68.04 56 116 11-7
87 Endgame 0 1091.17 68.53 57 115 11-8
88 Skeleton Squad 0 1090.53 47.40 66 114 14-12
89 Lil’ Huckers 0 1082.50 55.29 61 112 12-10
90 Dynasty 0 1079.98 71.66 56 115 12-6
91 Rumspringa 0 1070.54 84.32 54 122 7-3
92 Swordfish 0 1051.09 72.91 57 122 8-10
93 John Doe 0 1050.34 87.10 55 128 14-6
94 DeMo 0 1049.40 64.39 63 121 12-7
95 Crypt 0 1044.21 64.62 59 122 11-7
96 Atlanta Arson 0 1035.62 97.79 55 143 10-5
97 Rebels 0 1033.05 61.39 65 121 12-11
98 Sawtooth 0 1023.58 59.75 71 123 11-7
99 Forest City 0 1022.92 64.34 67 129 10-10
100 X Wives 0 1008.93 78.41 62 129 6-6
101 DINGWOP 0 996.80 56.53 72 124 4-2
102 Colonels 0 995.93 59.49 76 125 12-7
103 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 991.57 143.53 41 159 1-2
104 El Niño 0 983.56 71.87 65 134 7-5
105 ZOO 0 977.02 88.77 58 142 16-3
106 Riverside 0 956.32 54.59 72 127 11-7
107 Magma Bears 0 951.52 53.72 83 132 9-11
108 OPE 0 944.92 66.33 80 137 6-5
109 Texas Tea 0 918.11 64.63 85 143 11-6
110 Roundhouse 0 911.02 63.04 85 143 5-7
111 Junco 0 900.67 58.08 87 139 6-12
112 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 898.77 74.00 75 147 8-3
113 Texas BBQ 0 883.83 60.37 89 144 11-7
114 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 868.58 84.64 73 160 7-5
115 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 863.85 114.51 65 177 4-2
116 Cookie Mon$terz 0 861.96 64.45 87 156 13-4
117 Queen City Kings 0 845.99 72.41 88 163 9-6
118 Battleship 0 842.09 57.38 99 149 8-4
119 ATLiens 0 832.44 127.74 57 180 3-2
120 BANG 0 819.25 71.88 92 158 4-2
121 NOx 0 814.56 74.95 98 159 11-8
122 H.I.P 0 806.54 134.82 75 194 3-2
123 Harvest Moon 0 798.70 113.41 73 184 7-5
124 UpRoar 0 790.01 79.49 91 165 7-5
125 Beef Depot 0 789.16 66.03 101 168 13-9
126 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 788.88 70.81 101 156 5-6
127 Dreadnought 0 785.71 59.41 102 155 9-10
128 Hazard 0 784.93 98.83 78 172 5-7
129 Heartbreak 0 776.42 73.65 98 174 4-8
130 Zodiac 0 775.94 83.76 89 171 7-6
131 Atlanta Outlaws 0 774.20 74.23 102 163 11-7
132 Cache Valley High Ground 0 767.52 79.87 97 162 1-9
133 Town Hall Stars 0 758.47 104.81 80 183 4-0
134 Alliance 0 753.48 91.32 96 174 8-9
135 Psychedelic 0 750.64 85.80 94 178 9-9
136 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 740.11 45.95 116 162 7-11
137 New Jersey Gemini 0 729.30 64.53 104 165 5-13
138 Romulus 0 719.55 90.03 100 183 5-6
139 Rubicon Rapids 0 710.61 82.24 102 180 6-6
140 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 688.52 82.93 108 175 5-7
141 Alibi 0 679.74 50.88 121 168 9-11
142 Make it Rain 0 670.73 91.52 108 189 3-9
143 EZ 0 668.09 67.71 114 183 7-12
144 Delirium 0 667.24 163.37 71 215 2-3
145 Touch of Grey 0 666.20 71.48 113 183 4-3
146 Tugboat 0 663.73 63.24 118 174 10-7
147 (washed) 0 644.35 84.19 106 190 6-3
148 OC Crows 0 643.22 91.45 109 194 2-6
149 Battery 0 641.11 48.36 118 174 5-7
150 MBTA 0 636.67 46.74 125 180 4-15
151 L.U.T $ack 0 633.06 77.51 114 188 6-6
152 STL Moonar 0 632.87 73.00 120 186 4-8
153 Winc City Fog 0 630.80 74.27 120 185 7-9
154 Gang Of Disc 0 629.78 85.98 115 197 8-3
155 Firefall 0 614.99 118.49 100 209 3-3
156 Mischief 0 607.96 62.34 124 186 6-18
157 ElecTriCity 0 605.22 70.95 119 185 4-7
158 Florida Flo 0 603.87 75.63 119 187 3-4
159 Nocturnal 0 599.99 36.32 138 177 9-10
160 Timber 0 586.70 51.79 128 184 6-6
161 Seven Gills 0 585.51 110.58 101 203 2-9
162 BUDA Regional Select 0 569.56 97.38 107 204 1-6
163 ODOT 0 566.29 162.80 97 214 2-4
164 NC Brickhouse 0 552.34 64.84 135 194 5-12
165 DAP LAB 0 548.92 84.42 126 200 5-0
166 Give Me Death 0 541.74 84.95 124 196 4-6
167 Enigma 0 537.81 36.85 146 182 5-7
168 Scythe 0 536.39 81.53 126 200 6-7
169 The Incline 0 535.33 57.79 139 189 12-12
170 Rice Box 0 534.68 60.09 133 193 11-7
171 Cozy Boys 0 517.96 96.56 120 209 3-3
172 Rawhide 0 495.07 68.09 140 199 6-7
173 Lil Heroes 0 487.54 51.72 146 196 3-3
174 Digit 0 477.93 102.63 131 206 3-4
175 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 475.69 133.45 104 222 2-4
176 Shift 0 458.18 72.57 143 202 3-9
177 Texas Duffy 0 454.97 77.97 139 201 7-11
178 On Ramp 0 444.62 38.62 157 194 6-12
179 Dub Club 0 442.87 54.08 156 196 6-7
180 Oregon Trainwreck 0 435.18 101.62 126 210 1-5
181 Journeymen 0 434.27 192.74 97 226 1-4
182 Wave 0 430.81 78.66 147 205 4-8
183 Barefoot 0 416.36 78.79 143 206 5-12
184 Space Cowboys 0 412.00 87.30 150 209 3-8
185 Friendly Fire 0 393.68 65.10 158 206 9-10
186 PARLAY 0 390.65 93.56 138 211 1-3
187 Green Mountain Boys 0 386.56 69.96 154 208 6-6
188 Tennessee Folklore 0 379.54 67.05 147 207 6-12
189 Gambit 0 377.21 67.85 151 211 5-11
190 Smogborn 0 352.26 113.28 138 221 2-9
191 Southern Hospitality 0 331.17 61.87 164 211 5-11
192 Whittz Boyz 0 329.54 112.90 131 216 1-5
193 Forge 0 311.24 58.41 175 211 6-12
194 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 299.20 89.81 160 221 3-10
195 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 289.64 90.71 163 222 2-3
196 Red Lotus 0 289.56 74.01 168 215 4-13
197 Conspiracy Theory 0 286.71 82.89 162 215 3-8
198 Savannah Wild 0 260.72 69.43 170 216 4-14
199 Hydra 0 251.40 78.57 177 218 2-10
200 Sky-90 0 242.80 145.54 135 227 0-6
201 Nomads 0 239.60 72.12 175 218 6-11
202 Kansas City Northern Lines 0 227.72 72.90 177 216 4-9
203 Buoyancy 0 227.72 180.94 129 229 1-4
204 Red Dawn 0 226.43 104.61 163 223 2-4
205 Buffalo Frostbite 0 217.06 57.78 184 217 8-11
206 Burning River 0 216.61 89.34 168 225 1-11
207 San Antonio Warhawks 0 204.34 57.94 185 218 5-13
208 Bodega Cats 0 158.70 71.49 182 221 3-12
209 Chemical X 0 129.14 72.30 189 225 4-12
210 Maumee Boys 0 127.04 65.29 192 224 3-15
211 Long Island Riff Raff 0 91.12 73.09 192 223 8-10
212 F-Words 0 78.30 113.32 178 227 1-4
213 Motive 0 67.24 59.40 198 225 7-16
214 Anchor 0 58.37 100.18 184 229 0-5
215 Afterburner 0 38.98 63.57 197 226 0-6
216 Virginia Vortex 0 35.59 151.25 167 229 1-3
217 Frostchomp 0 2.31 98.80 192 227 1-3
218 Spring Break '93 0 -8.95 96.79 191 229 2-10
219 Supercell 0 -18.57 64.94 206 228 3-16
220 Black Gold 0 -25.32 47.40 211 227 1-11
221 Players Into Serious Sports 0 -38.16 174.97 170 231 0-4
222 Original Recipe 0 -42.06 123.57 189 230 0-6
223 Apollo 0 -65.74 123.24 196 230 0-6
224 Milwaukee Breaker 0 -100.69 89.56 205 230 0-6
225 Tofu Junction 0 -119.93 110.19 199 231 3-7
226 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -193.38 124.63 206 231 0-8
227 Flux 0 -367.02 146.60 213 231 0-12
228 Inferno Ultimate 0 -374.21 77.68 223 231 0-4
229 Turn-a-Phase 0 -387.05 187.32 199 231 0-6
230 Mayhem 0 -472.96 267.03 178 231 0-6
231 Deaf Fruit 0 -625.32 218.26 218 231 0-6