Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ



Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.10 GOAT 100.00%,   Chicago Machine 100.00%,   Haymaker 10.20%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.00 Philadelphia Pacmen 100.00%,   Truck Stop 100.00%,  
1 North Central 1.27 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 26.80%,  
3 Northeast 3.13 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Red Tide 65.50%,   Mephisto 45.50%,   Sprout 1.20%,   Magnitude 0.50%,   Blueprint 0.30%,  
3 Northwest 2.94 Sockeye 100.00%,   Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Furious George 93.50%,   Dark Star 0.30%,  
1 South Central 1.11 Johnny Bravo 100.00%,   Doublewide 11.30%,  
2 Southeast 2.17 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 17.20%,  
2 Southwest 1.28 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 27.70%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.102 2.000 1.268 3.130 2.938 1.113 2.172 1.277
Autos (all @ 1) 1.102 1.000 0.268 2.130 1.938 0.113 1.172 0.277
Northeast (@ 2) 1.102 1.000 0.268 1.130 1.938 0.113 1.172 0.277
Northwest (@ 2) 1.102 1.000 0.268 1.130 0.938 0.113 1.172 0.277
Southeast (@ 2) 1.102 1.000 0.268 1.130 0.938 0.113 0.172 0.277
Northeast (@ 3) 1.102 1.000 0.268 0.130 0.938 0.113 0.172 0.277
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.102 1.000 0.268 0.130 0.938 0.113 0.172 0.277
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.102 0.000 0.268 0.130 0.938 0.113 0.172 0.277
Northwest (@ 3) 0.102 0.000 0.268 0.130 -0.062 0.113 0.172 0.277
Southwest (@ 2) 0.102 0.000 0.268 0.130 -0.062 0.113 0.172 -0.723
Total 2 2 1 3 3 1 2 2

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Chicago Machine 1 2224.52 72.61 1 10 17-6
2 Ring of Fire 1 2209.26 57.23 1 8 23-6
3 PoNY 1 2204.91 54.92 1 10 20-4
4 Rhino Slam! 1 2178.12 51.33 1 11 19-4
5 Revolver 1 2177.73 65.05 1 12 19-3
6 DiG 1 2157.69 64.67 1 12 18-7
7 Chain Lightning 1 2048.65 44.31 3 13 19-10
8 Philadelphia Pacmen 1 2035.30 43.96 4 13 20-9
9 Truck Stop 1 2029.05 51.34 3 14 19-11
10 Sub Zero 1 1999.35 45.75 4 14 23-9
11 GOAT 1 1996.96 56.27 3 14 15-9
12 Sockeye 1 1982.84 49.90 5 14 16-9
13 Johnny Bravo 1 1921.09 46.80 7 16 16-13
14 Furious George 0.935 1814.54 47.47 11 20 16-14
15 Red Tide 0.655 1767.61 43.44 13 23 20-12
16 Mephisto 0.455 1737.96 46.62 14 25 14-17
17 SoCal Condors 0.277 1713.51 56.69 13 28 12-5
18 Mad Men 0.268 1721.81 44.34 14 24 22-6
19 Raleigh-Durham United 0.172 1708.94 43.37 14 27 10-7
20 Doublewide 0.113 1681.82 52.81 13 31 20-15
21 Haymaker 0.102 1681.68 59.05 14 31 22-6
22 Sprout 0.012 1629.10 55.17 15 37 22-8
23 Magnitude 0.005 1604.65 53.48 16 36 10-3
24 Dark Star 0.003 1630.34 42.87 15 32 21-6
25 Blueprint 0.003 1588.84 56.17 15 38 24-7
26 Florida Untied 0 1552.07 58.76 18 44 17-12
27 Vault 0 1545.24 45.03 20 41 15-15
28 Oak Grove Boys 0 1533.86 53.19 19 45 24-10
29 Surf 0 1529.81 53.77 18 44 9-4
30 baNC 0 1529.00 55.82 19 44 16-13
31 Phoenix 0 1519.18 63.79 17 50 16-12
32 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1479.27 47.20 22 55 18-10
33 Flying Dutchmen 0 1477.74 56.97 23 50 17-7
34 Nighthawk 0 1460.11 67.92 22 55 13-10
35 Lounar 0 1457.58 51.17 24 52 19-12
36 I-69 0 1456.39 76.12 20 61 16-13
37 Tanasi 0 1447.34 66.98 22 63 21-6
38 The Expendables 0 1435.29 84.79 19 71 8-3
39 SOUF 0 1434.37 43.73 25 50 22-9
40 General Strike 0 1406.40 91.77 20 79 7-3
41 Fungi 0 1399.71 54.30 26 61 16-8
42 Colt 0 1385.99 59.39 23 63 24-14
43 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1373.17 51.80 29 68 24-8
44 Zodiac 0 1351.16 71.74 24 87 15-9
45 Red Circus 0 1334.77 46.74 35 72 12-7
46 Big Wrench 0 1326.60 64.73 28 83 12-10
47 Switchback 0 1300.96 49.89 34 76 14-13
48 Knights of Ni 0 1300.13 57.21 32 78 15-9
49 AVE 0 1294.14 58.91 31 86 8-9
50 Wavestorms 0 1293.45 71.50 32 89 17-4
51 Portland TremOR 0 1284.02 53.06 33 79 11-9
52 Grudge 0 1280.68 59.18 37 88 12-10
53 UPDOG 0 1275.35 85.10 28 116 13-8
54 Mallard 0 1268.86 75.56 30 102 9-8
55 BUDA U20B 0 1267.22 88.53 24 106 3-4
56 Trident 0 1255.24 61.85 32 104 19-9
57 ELDL 0 1246.99 43.71 39 83 17-12
58 Mint 0 1225.88 50.25 39 92 17-10
59 Zoboomafoo 0 1220.18 48.24 42 92 15-12
60 Jen City Executives 0 1212.74 101.40 26 127 2-3
61 Houndd 0 1210.51 102.98 30 134 7-4
62 Garden State Ultimate 0 1200.53 51.70 43 93 15-13
63 Wretched Refuse 0 1196.16 94.46 34 132 7-4
64 Club M - Manic 0 1191.06 73.03 39 116 6-7
65 Iditarod 0 1186.26 58.01 42 106 11-7
66 Lantern 0 1183.76 59.51 43 112 17-12
67 CITYWIDE Special 0 1167.83 52.82 43 104 17-13
68 Hazard 0 1163.33 63.31 46 113 12-12
69 ISO Atmo 0 1162.86 65.38 44 113 19-10
70 Shade 0 1161.62 57.43 41 111 17-15
71 Alamode 0 1150.59 51.90 50 111 22-7
72 Blackfish 0 1147.60 58.88 45 114 9-9
73 Skipjack 0 1146.31 70.84 46 119 13-8
74 H.I.P 0 1142.98 86.82 36 122 12-5
75 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1139.30 72.48 43 127 16-10
76 WOMP 0 1138.87 58.89 44 115 22-7
77 Odyssey 0 1136.23 65.43 48 116 15-10
78 Endgame 0 1132.69 59.66 46 116 19-12
79 Fuse 0 1124.15 38.35 57 112 18-11
80 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1123.78 61.36 50 118 7-11
81 BAG 0 1123.13 50.11 53 112 13-17
82 Triumph 0 1111.68 54.00 54 116 17-12
83 Black Lung 0 1111.07 69.66 38 118 20-8
84 Surly 0 1100.59 78.11 48 129 3-2
85 Atlanta Arson 0 1100.56 65.81 51 121 17-9
86 Lil’ Huckers 0 1095.31 47.40 56 118 16-15
87 ELE 0 1091.40 101.08 31 145 4-2
88 DeMo 0 1084.19 48.12 54 117 18-14
89 Rumspringa 0 1082.03 70.79 53 122 12-6
90 Apollo 0 1075.77 48.44 56 118 18-8
91 Ascension 0 1073.44 62.39 56 124 6-7
92 Cash Crop 2 0 1072.56 51.56 59 121 13-6
93 Swordfish 0 1072.22 60.67 54 128 16-13
94 MOB Ultimate 0 1055.01 61.11 46 127 15-10
95 Utah Lightning Goblins 0 1051.54 113.89 39 160 4-1
96 DAPPER 0 1048.76 45.07 62 121 18-19
97 PowderHogs 0 1043.59 65.01 58 135 13-10
98 ZOO 0 1040.73 63.86 60 126 23-7
99 Colonels 0 1035.49 51.07 69 125 17-15
100 Dynasty 0 1031.54 47.10 61 126 16-15
101 El Niño 0 1029.98 63.24 58 130 13-10
102 Texas BBQ 0 1024.50 56.51 62 129 17-9
103 Providence Poultry 0 1023.22 107.80 43 159 1-4
104 Skeleton Squad 0 1022.15 47.92 69 123 17-14
105 John Doe 0 1018.40 65.78 55 136 21-11
106 Crypt 0 1015.14 52.30 64 127 17-12
107 Sawtooth 0 1010.62 55.07 66 134 14-13
108 Roundhouse 0 1010.36 49.22 71 128 12-11
109 X Wives 0 1003.77 88.32 43 144 6-6
110 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 1002.58 141.90 33 181 1-2
111 Dingles 0 995.06 83.70 50 160 5-4
112 OAT 0 982.05 54.63 67 137 14-10
113 DINGWOP 0 976.53 56.44 67 140 7-5
114 Forest City 0 971.91 58.48 69 139 15-15
115 EtobiCoke 0 969.90 67.15 72 159 11-9
116 Junco 0 955.12 65.33 80 147 6-14
117 Dinodisc 0 938.77 70.79 65 153 3-2
118 Riverside 0 927.31 41.89 95 143 17-13
119 Hazard 0 917.98 77.59 74 156 11-10
120 Heartbreak 0 909.39 59.40 84 158 6-12
121 Sebastopol Orchard 0 902.56 70.73 78 167 9-7
122 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 890.90 124.79 56 189 4-2
123 Rebels 0 876.14 49.49 90 152 17-18
124 Texas Tea 0 875.81 63.35 92 164 16-12
125 Magma Bears 0 854.74 46.18 103 160 14-17
126 Cookie Mon$terz 0 848.43 54.90 100 159 19-9
127 OC Crows 0 838.15 63.03 94 162 7-13
128 Queen City Kings 0 835.28 54.70 101 164 13-9
129 Harvest Moon 0 826.44 81.81 81 177 11-8
130 NOx 0 826.26 57.91 106 166 14-11
131 Zodiac 0 824.94 59.21 101 166 10-9
132 Dreadnought 0 824.36 50.54 109 161 14-15
133 Battleship 0 814.28 53.21 105 169 12-10
134 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 795.20 57.41 109 168 10-13
135 ATLiens 0 793.98 118.86 73 202 3-2
136 UpRoar 0 791.54 61.42 107 174 10-8
137 Town Hall Stars 0 789.39 101.39 71 199 5-3
138 OPE 0 786.52 66.10 110 183 8-13
139 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 786.30 62.45 108 172 8-9
140 (washed) 0 783.44 57.62 109 176 11-10
141 Cache Valley High Ground 0 782.99 69.42 105 182 1-9
142 My Guys 0 777.06 90.40 97 207 4-3
143 Psychedelic 0 775.26 66.55 95 176 12-12
144 Tugboat 0 770.50 52.82 117 177 16-12
145 Gravy Transportation and Logistics LLC, A Washington Limited Liability Corporation 0 757.98 115.87 86 213 1-4
146 Seven Gills 0 754.13 80.63 111 191 4-12
147 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 753.39 84.43 93 195 10-7
148 Make it Rain 0 746.85 66.61 114 182 4-14
149 Atlanta Outlaws 0 740.05 61.51 118 181 15-10
150 Alliance 0 727.83 72.87 115 194 12-12
151 Rubicon Rapids 0 724.66 64.98 118 185 9-13
152 Enigma 0 711.98 66.33 114 197 8-15
153 Great Effort Every Body 0 703.90 93.81 101 209 1-4
154 BANG 0 702.20 68.88 121 202 4-6
155 Gang Of Disc 0 696.12 70.66 117 195 12-6
156 Battery 0 692.54 57.16 118 191 9-14
157 L.U.T $ack 0 690.82 61.31 126 192 9-10
158 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 678.92 42.36 137 186 10-14
159 Touch of Grey 0 672.95 82.93 109 206 4-3
160 ODOT 0 663.82 152.29 78 234 2-4
161 Beef Depot 0 661.04 59.30 129 194 15-14
162 Ghost Train 0 660.76 106.78 82 211 3-3
163 Romulus 0 659.47 70.69 125 204 7-11
164 Nocturnal 0 651.16 44.14 141 190 14-12
165 Delirium 0 646.16 172.08 63 236 2-3
166 AFC Rumble 0 644.64 156.37 60 241 0-4
167 Omen 0 644.43 80.90 125 218 4-3
168 The Incline 0 643.78 56.82 133 194 17-19
169 New Jersey Gemini 0 641.10 45.55 136 193 8-17
170 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 629.17 62.93 130 203 6-11
171 Bonzaiiiii!! 0 620.08 144.60 90 242 3-4
172 Timber 0 608.35 54.27 137 200 9-8
173 Scythe 0 605.68 58.10 142 205 9-11
174 Alibi 0 604.20 56.43 143 200 12-14
175 Give Me Death 0 599.85 64.06 138 205 7-10
176 STL Moonar 0 597.67 54.92 145 200 5-13
177 Mischief 0 558.89 56.03 145 208 8-26
178 MBTA 0 551.85 46.95 156 209 5-19
179 Oregon Trainwreck 0 548.06 123.26 117 233 1-5
180 Winc City Fog 0 546.57 58.90 149 212 8-12
181 Old & Nasti 0 543.78 103.21 128 230 2-4
182 Choice City Hops 0 539.60 118.33 114 238 2-4
183 Sky-90 0 538.63 85.21 139 226 1-9
184 Cozy Boys 0 533.31 64.21 155 218 6-6
185 Firefall 0 531.91 77.26 141 220 7-6
186 EZ 0 525.87 57.82 155 213 7-17
187 NC Brickhouse 0 525.41 59.95 153 213 8-15
188 ElecTriCity 0 523.11 56.62 155 213 7-10
189 DAP LAB 0 516.83 89.44 132 228 9-7
190 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 516.49 112.56 117 235 2-4
191 Rice Box 0 515.06 54.88 155 213 13-12
192 Rawhide 0 509.70 54.84 158 219 8-15
193 Florida Flo 0 506.78 70.59 150 222 5-8
194 BUDA Regional Select 0 491.29 84.82 148 229 1-6
195 Texas Duffy 0 481.33 66.53 155 233 9-15
196 On Ramp 0 477.80 36.96 174 213 9-15
197 Lil Heroes 0 477.61 57.68 154 219 3-3
198 Sauce 0 461.89 92.54 146 233 3-3
199 Dub Club 0 450.54 44.36 174 217 8-11
200 Shift 0 441.11 61.04 159 232 6-12
201 Pittsburgh Puppies 0 423.94 155.40 122 266 0-3
202 Wave 0 421.78 54.83 178 228 5-11
203 Los Buds 0 410.25 93.26 151 248 3-3
204 Space Cowboys 0 407.37 89.23 159 239 3-8
205 Tennessee Folklore 0 388.52 62.44 173 235 7-15
206 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 366.69 65.46 168 236 5-15
207 Riverside Riptide 0 365.08 173.94 105 262 2-3
208 Fort Reno Flatball Club 0 362.91 56.14 186 243 4-2
209 Green Mountain Boys 0 360.46 77.92 172 241 6-6
210 Savannah Wild 0 353.21 61.44 183 240 6-18
211 Hydra 0 347.07 70.90 180 248 4-14
212 Friendly Fire 0 341.73 62.72 183 238 9-15
213 Whittz Boyz 0 333.55 87.87 168 255 2-11
214 Gambit 0 330.20 58.03 182 241 7-15
215 Barefoot 0 327.53 69.53 187 244 6-16
216 Southern Hospitality 0 327.07 47.85 191 238 7-16
217 Smogborn 0 310.64 80.80 177 248 2-13
218 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 303.19 67.85 189 242 2-3
219 Nomads 0 293.49 66.02 187 247 6-16
220 Kansas City Northern Lines 0 289.78 75.20 182 253 5-13
221 Sungho Moon 0 284.82 117.39 155 257 3-3
222 Forge 0 284.27 60.85 195 244 7-16
223 Conspiracy Theory 0 277.15 69.21 186 248 3-13
224 Burning River 0 261.70 59.73 199 250 3-15
225 ALT 0 258.84 103.46 167 257 3-3
226 Digit 0 254.07 71.10 196 255 5-8
227 Bay Dog 0 230.78 123.49 168 267 2-3
228 Buoyancy 0 227.03 109.58 180 265 2-9
229 Red Lotus 0 224.77 61.36 198 254 4-19
230 Buffalo Frostbite 0 221.13 67.64 197 254 11-19
231 Maumee Boys 0 212.82 64.17 194 253 6-18
232 San Antonio Warhawks 0 200.74 47.92 208 250 9-15
233 Chemical X 0 192.91 72.15 204 259 5-15
234 Unknowns 0 166.06 41.71 222 252 1-3
235 Milwaukee Breaker 0 158.28 93.76 198 263 1-9
236 Satellite 0 151.80 123.03 186 267 1-4
237 Afterburner 0 130.06 49.00 221 259 0-11
238 Scooby Coupy COUP 0 121.49 128.68 177 268 2-4
239 Journeymen 0 117.20 130.27 174 274 1-9
240 Pulp 0 111.62 167.42 167 275 1-3
241 Apollo 0 107.56 101.87 186 267 2-8
242 Red Dawn 0 107.04 86.99 206 267 2-4
243 F-Words 0 105.66 120.58 190 269 1-4
244 Float 0 97.59 138.88 192 270 1-4
245 Players Into Serious Sports 0 83.91 87.44 208 268 1-8
246 Reckers 0 77.23 89.67 208 267 3-3
247 PARLAY 0 64.52 138.17 195 274 1-8
248 Bodega Cats 0 61.88 79.02 218 265 4-15
249 Spring Break '93 0 43.82 85.94 218 267 4-14
250 East Bay Earthworms 0 42.79 149.08 186 274 1-5
251 Motive 0 38.56 51.53 229 267 8-20
252 Anchor 0 37.59 92.94 207 271 0-9
253 Long Island Riff Raff 0 29.46 70.71 219 267 9-15
254 Bonsoon 0 4.19 204.58 170 277 0-6
255 Team Waco 0 -8.78 87.82 220 272 2-4
256 Shenanigans 0 -16.95 185.90 176 276 1-5
257 Supercell 0 -19.30 65.56 229 268 3-19
258 Original Recipe 0 -29.23 123.33 201 275 0-6
259 Black Gold 0 -38.63 58.39 236 270 3-14
260 we love drinking juice 0 -45.62 249.96 165 277 0-4
261 Purple Blaze 0 -117.94 289.56 139 277 1-3
262 Aces 0 -126.75 145.37 217 276 1-4
263 Pineapple 0 -133.37 244.04 174 277 0-4
264 Virginia Vortex 0 -137.74 170.88 200 277 1-3
265 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -172.11 120.28 224 276 0-8
266 Dreadnought: Battleship 0 -193.37 217.29 193 277 1-3
267 Knockout 0 -202.84 233.22 187 277 0-6
268 Frostchomp 0 -210.42 152.18 224 276 1-8
269 Hex Panthers 0 -215.81 280.93 178 277 0-4
270 STX HEAT 0 -246.71 125.70 242 277 0-5
271 Flux 0 -264.43 122.61 247 277 0-17
272 Tofu Junction 0 -277.68 98.53 249 277 3-12
273 Inferno Ultimate 0 -381.58 71.14 261 277 0-4
274 Mayhem 0 -387.18 173.31 235 277 0-11
275 Turn-a-Phase 0 -471.94 199.22 221 277 0-6
276 Stuyvesant Sticky Fingers 0 -520.70 373.06 110 277 0-3
277 Deaf Fruit 0 -638.63 229.95 247 277 0-6